Connahs Quay vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Connahs Quay 1-3 Bala Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bala Town saw off Connahs Quay 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Connahs Quay carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 70% of the ball to Bala Town's 30%, shots finished 16-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.50 for Bala Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?
Connahs Quay 1-3 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 59%, draw 22%, Bala Town 19%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.