Carmarthen Town 2-0 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Oct 2024

Carmarthen Town
2-0 HT 1-0
Trethomas Bluebirds
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.0pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmarthen Town v Trethomas Bluebirds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.84/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.51
-5% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town beat Trethomas Bluebirds 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Carmarthen Town 2-0 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 48%, draw 19%, Trethomas Bluebirds 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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