Hwaseong 0-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 35% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.63/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.47
+11% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
12.3 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
191 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
08.03.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
0-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
265 Passes 421
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC squeezed past Hwaseong 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hwaseong at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hwaseong had 40% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 60%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hwaseong had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 0.50 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam FC?

Hwaseong 0-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 42%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam FC 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hwaseong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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