Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Nov 2025

Jeonnam Dragons
2-1 HT 0-0
Incheon United
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeonnam Dragons v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.40/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.8 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
283 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.07.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
25.05.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
22.08.2018 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
05.11.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 1-2 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
20.09.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
28.05.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 3-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR

Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2-1
AWAY Incheon United
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 472
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons edged past Incheon United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jeonnam Dragons found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 40% of the ball to Incheon United's 60%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.67 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United?

Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 40%, draw 27%, Incheon United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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