Busan I Park 0-3 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.04
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.7 Crosses 18.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 425
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
04.05.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
18.08.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
16.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
11.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-3
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
424 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa cruised past Busan I Park 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 53% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 47%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Busan I Park and 0.67 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Busan I Park 0-3 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 49%, draw 24%, Asan Mugunghwa 27%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5
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