Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.72
+8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.1 Crosses 21.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
445 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
18.08.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
16.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
11.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
28.05.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
386 Passes 241
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park nicked a narrow win over Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 57% of the ball to Busan I Park's 43%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park?

Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 28%, draw 28%, Busan I Park 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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