Deportes Tolima 3-1 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.17/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.24
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
16.4 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Llaneros
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
361 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
20.05.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 1-3 HT 0-3 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
25.03.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
3-1
AWAY Llaneros
1.05 xG 0.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima saw off Llaneros 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 51% of the ball to Llaneros's 49%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.05 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?

Deportes Tolima 3-1 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 54%, draw 26%, Llaneros 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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