Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.73
No
37%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
54%
+8.8pp
37%
BTTS No
46%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
2.28/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.02
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.03.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
13.09.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
07.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
30.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 7-0 HT 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.02.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1-1
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Correcaminos UAT shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Alebrijes de Oaxaca carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had 46% of the ball to Correcaminos UAT's 54%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.50 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 55%, draw 18%, Correcaminos UAT 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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