Aluminij 3-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.28/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Domzale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2025 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
18.05.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-3 HT 0-3 Domzale Domzale SLVN
16.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
06.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-5 HT 0-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.05.2022 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
3-1
AWAY Domzale
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij beat Domzale 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Aluminij had 49% of the ball to Domzale's 51%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Domzale led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aluminij and 2.50 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Domzale?

Aluminij 3-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 44%, draw 22%, Domzale 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
8 Nov 2025
19:30 Radomlje vs Maribor Analysis →