Barbastro 2-0 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.41
Over
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.17
-52% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gernika
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2024 Barbastro Barbastro 1-0 HT 1-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
2-0
AWAY Gernika
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro beat Gernika 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Barbastro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barbastro had 35% of the ball to Gernika's 65%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Gernika?

Barbastro 2-0 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 39%, draw 26%, Gernika 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barbastro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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