Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05
AL1
0-3
HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
AL1
5-0
HT 5-0
Mainz 05
AL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Wolfsburg squeezed past Mainz 05 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 44% of the ball to Mainz 05's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.24 to 2.61 — on chances, Mainz 05 could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.17 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05?
Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 41%, draw 26%, Mainz 05 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.