Monterrey 5-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.95
X/1
17%
3.88
X/2
10%
10.15
X/X
10%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
2/2
8%
7.82
2/X
7%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.93/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.63
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.9 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
398 Passes 420
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
06.10.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.01.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.12.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
02.07.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
5-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.69 xG 1.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
421 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
43 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey cruised past Atletico San Luis 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monterrey had 56% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 44%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 1.69 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterrey and 1.17 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

Monterrey 5-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 48%, draw 26%, Atletico San Luis 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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