Dinamo Moscow 4-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.56
2-3 Goals
35%
2.27
4-5 Goals
28%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.75
X/1
15%
4.1
X/2
7%
13.55
X/X
12%
8.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
18.15
2/2
10%
8.54
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.15 — our 7% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.8pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.70/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.13
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.4 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Khimki
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.42 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
380 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Khimki Khimki 3-4 HT 2-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
06.05.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
29.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 6-1 HT 3-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
26.02.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
22.10.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
24.04.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4-1
AWAY Khimki
5.13 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
28 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
308 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow cruised past Khimki 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 54% of the ball to Khimki's 46%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 5.13 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.00 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Khimki?

Dinamo Moscow 4-1 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 54%, draw 23%, Khimki 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5
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