Fakel 0-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.15
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
15%
7.46
X/2
16%
4.16
X/X
12%
3.5
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.93
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.05/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.15
-14% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
22.0 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
252 Passes 321
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
07.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-1 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
05.02.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 Fakel Fakel HAZ
11.11.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.10.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
09.08.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.75 xG 0.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
226 Passes 416
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fakel vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova edged past Fakel 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fakel had 41% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 59%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.75 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fakel and 1.17 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Fakel vs CSKA Moskova?

Fakel 0-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fakel 32%, draw 27%, CSKA Moskova 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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