Burgos 0-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Dec 2025

Burgos
0-1 HT 0-0
Albacete
📅08/12/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Burgos vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.24
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.85
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.45
X/2
9%
7.77
X/X
17%
3.71
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
7%
6.74
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Albacete — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 27%
+18% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.40/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.48
+11% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.7 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Burgos vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Albacete
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2025 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
21.10.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
28.01.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.09.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
19.02.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.08.2022 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2

Burgos 0-1 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-1
AWAY Albacete
0.47 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete nicked a narrow win over Burgos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Burgos had 54% of the ball to Albacete's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.47 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Albacete?

Burgos 0-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burgos 46%, draw 30%, Albacete 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burgos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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