Udinese 1-2 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Dec 2025

Udinese
1-2 HT 0-1
Genoa
📅08/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Udinese vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.45
Over
48%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
2.24
No
45%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.03
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
23%
6.15
6+
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.66
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
14%
6.26
X/X
11%
3.36
2/1 ✗
8%
35.0
2/2
13%
5.24
2/X
8%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Udinese v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa The Market 32%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.32/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.09
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.9 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Udinese vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Genoa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.04.2025 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
01.12.2024 Udinese Udinese 0-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
24.02.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
01.10.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-2 Genoa Genoa İTA
22.01.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
28.11.2021 Udinese Udinese 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA

Udinese 1-2 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-2
AWAY Genoa
1.17 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
337 Passes 241
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Udinese vs Genoa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Genoa nicked a narrow win over Udinese 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

From a near-even 40% / 26% / 34% read, it was Genoa who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Udinese had 58% of the ball to Genoa's 42%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.60.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Udinese and 1.17 for Genoa.

Udinese vs Genoa Result & Final Score

Udinese 1-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Udinese vs Genoa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Udinese 40%, draw 26%, Genoa 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Udinese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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