Ascoli 3-0 Forli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2025

Ascoli
3-0 HT 2-0
Forli
📅08/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.06
No
45%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.6pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Forli EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.43/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.34
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Forli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
29.03.2015 Forli Forli 2-1 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
3-0
AWAY Forli
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Forli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli ran out comfortable winners over Forli 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 60% of the ball to Forli's 40%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Forli?

Ascoli 3-0 Forli in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Forli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 57%, draw 23%, Forli 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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