Lecco 1-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +18%
1.66/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.65
+35% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +93%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Alcione
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2025 Alcione 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
30.10.2024 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-0
AWAY Alcione
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco squeezed past Alcione 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lecco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lecco had 57% of the ball to Alcione's 43%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lecco and 0.00 for Alcione.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Alcione?

Lecco 1-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lecco 37%, draw 27%, Alcione 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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