Virtus Verona 1-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +9%
1.19/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-2 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
24.11.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 0-2 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
13.04.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
08.12.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
26.03.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
27.11.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-1
AWAY Pergolettese
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Pergolettese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 45% of the ball to Pergolettese's 55%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.17 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese?

Virtus Verona 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 37%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Verona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Under 2.5
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