Pergolettese 1-2 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.64
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.95
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 0-2 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
13.04.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
08.12.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
26.03.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
27.11.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
29.01.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-2
AWAY Virtus Verona
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona squeezed past Pergolettese 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Virtus Verona made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pergolettese had 49% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pergolettese and 1.00 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Virtus Verona?

Pergolettese 1-2 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 37%, draw 30%, Virtus Verona 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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