Athletic Carpi 1-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.00/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.16
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 2-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
25.10.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 4-0 HT 2-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
1-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi and Vis Pesaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 47% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 53%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Athletic Carpi and 2.50 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro?

Athletic Carpi 1-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 37%, draw 25%, Vis Pesaro 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
8 Dec 2025
16:30 AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto Analysis →
16:30 Lecco vs Alcione Analysis →
16:30 Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese Analysis →
16:30 Ascoli vs Forli Analysis →
17:00 GIANA Erminio vs Triestina Analysis →