30/10/2024
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Lecco vs Alcione Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
29%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
25%
55%
Under 2.5
56%
45%
Over 2.5
44%
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
53%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lecco v Alcione — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lecco
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alcione
EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+63% /
+63%
1.65/1.08
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.34/0.34
+16%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+131%
/
+150%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
336 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
260 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.5
Lecco 1-0 Alcione — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Lecco
1-0
AWAY
Alcione
40%
Ball Possession
60%
16
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
0
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Lecco vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lecco squeezed past Alcione 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Lecco had 40% of the ball to Alcione's 60%, shots finished 16-4.
What was the final score of Lecco vs Alcione?
Lecco 1-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lecco vs Alcione?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecco 41%, draw 29%, Alcione 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lecco)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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30 Oct 2024