Triestina 1-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.47/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.20
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 2-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
10.09.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
11.02.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
16.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-3 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
12.02.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
03.10.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 1-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and AlbinoLeffe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Triestina had 59% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 41%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Triestina and 1.83 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe?

Triestina 1-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Triestina 38%, draw 29%, AlbinoLeffe 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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