Picerno 1-3 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
12%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.46/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.44
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
1W-3D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
21.09.2023 Picerno Picerno 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.01.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.09.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-2 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-3
AWAY SSC Giugliano
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Picerno vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano got the better of Picerno 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Picerno at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Picerno had 64% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 36%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Picerno and 1.00 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Picerno vs SSC Giugliano?

Picerno 1-3 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Picerno 45%, draw 25%, SSC Giugliano 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5
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