Padova Calcio 1-0 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.66/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.77
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
24.10.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
25.03.2023 Renate Renate 2-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
27.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
21.12.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
28.08.2021 Renate Renate 0-3 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-0
AWAY Renate
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Renate 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 64% of the ball to Renate's 36%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.50 for Renate.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Renate?

Padova Calcio 1-0 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 53%, draw 26%, Renate 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
30 Oct 2024
17:00 Picerno vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
20:30 Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
20:30 Clodiense vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →
20:30 Lecco vs Alcione Analysis →
20:30 Milan II vs Pineto Analysis →
20:30 Sassari Torres vs Perugia Analysis →