Boca Juniors 0-1 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.64
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.35
X/2
8%
8.33
X/X
12%
3.93
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
7%
7.21
2/X
5%
15.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.35 — our 23% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
49%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.54/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
+30% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.4 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 305
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
09.02.2025 Racing Club Racing Club 2-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
14.09.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 1-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
11.03.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
25.10.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
31.08.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
0-1
AWAY Racing Club
0.21 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
304 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club edged past Boca Juniors 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Boca Juniors carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 52% of the ball to Racing Club's 48%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.21 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.50 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Racing Club?

Boca Juniors 0-1 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 56%, draw 24%, Racing Club 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boca Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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