Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.45
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.71
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
11%
6.47
X/2
19%
4.81
X/X
19%
3.08
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
8%
3.65
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
35%
Draw
33%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.12/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.94
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.7 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
198 Passes 305
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
13.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
28.07.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 4-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
26.02.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.10.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
19.03.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.34 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
311 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Estudiantes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 54% of the ball to Estudiantes's 46%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.34 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.33 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 31%, draw 35%, Estudiantes 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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