Awassa Kenema 1-0 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 9 Jan 2026

📅09/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.29
No
48%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.0pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.63
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 2-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
25.01.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.05.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema nicked a narrow win over Kedus Giorgis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Awassa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 47% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 53%, shots finished 3-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Awassa Kenema had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Awassa Kenema and 1.00 for Kedus Giorgis.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Awassa Kenema 1-0 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 09/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 33%, draw 34%, Kedus Giorgis 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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