Gubbio 4-0 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Feb 2024

Gubbio
4-0 HT 1-0
Pescara
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Gubbio vs Pescara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gubbio v Pescara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.44/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.12
+25% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Gubbio vs Pescara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pescara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
02.11.2022 Pescara Pescara 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTCK
04.05.2022 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
06.02.2022 Pescara Pescara 3-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
28.09.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 2-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
28.04.2012 Gubbio Gubbio 0-2 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB

Gubbio 4-0 Pescara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
4-0
AWAY Pescara
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio ran out comfortable winners over Pescara 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gubbio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gubbio had 48% of the ball to Pescara's 52%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gubbio and 2.00 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pescara?

Gubbio 4-0 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 34%, draw 30%, Pescara 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pescara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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