Cadiz 5-2 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.98
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.4
X/1
17%
3.55
X/2
5%
12.65
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
8%
12.6
2/X
7%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.58
-12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
26.8 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cartagena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 0.48
55% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
301 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
07.12.2014 Cartagena Cartagena 1-3 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS3
27.04.2014 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS3
10.12.2013 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS3
12.03.2010 Cartagena Cartagena 4-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
11.10.2009 Cadiz Cadiz 1-3 HT 0-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
5-2
AWAY Cartagena
1.72 xG 1.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
431 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz cruised past Cartagena 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cadiz as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cadiz had 56% of the ball to Cartagena's 44%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.72 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cadiz and 1.67 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Cartagena?

Cadiz 5-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 54%, draw 28%, Cartagena 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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