Burgos 2-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Feb 2025

Burgos
2-1 HT 0-0
Racing Santander
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Burgos vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.25
X/2
13%
6.1
X/X
14%
3.97
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.48
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +35%
1.28/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.37
-18% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.0 Crosses 12.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Burgos vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
10.08.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
14.04.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
22.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
01.04.2023 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
20.11.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2

Burgos 2-1 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
2-1
AWAY Racing Santander
1.51 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
327 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos squeezed past Racing Santander 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 48% of the ball to Racing Santander's 52%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burgos and 1.33 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Racing Santander?

Burgos 2-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgos 41%, draw 29%, Racing Santander 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
9 Feb 2025
16:00 Elche vs Tenerife Analysis →
18:15 Cordoba vs Huesca Analysis →
20:30 Cadiz vs Cartagena Analysis →
20:30 Deportivo La Coruna vs Almeria Analysis →