Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Feb 2025

Deportivo La Coruna
3-1 HT 3-0
Almeria
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Deportivo La Coruna vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.06
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.16
X/2
20%
5.56
X/X
8%
4.67
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.46
2/X EV+ ✗
15%
12.3
Value flag · 2/X at 12.3 — our 15% vs market 5.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Almeria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.20/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.24
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.1 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Deportivo La Coruna vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Almeria
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
369 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2024 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
07.03.2020 Almeria Almeria 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
06.10.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
22.03.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
19.11.2018 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
28.02.2015 Almeria Almeria 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1

Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
3-1
AWAY Almeria
1.17 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
343 Passes 386
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna saw off Almeria 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 47% of the ball to Almeria's 53%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.17 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.17 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Almeria?

Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 28%, draw 29%, Almeria 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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