Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
12%
7.42
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
21%
4.53
X/2
16%
6.52
X/X
18%
3.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.95
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.6pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.17/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.96
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.4 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
322 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
07.08.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-3 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJK
29.04.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
08.10.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
08.11.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-1 HT 2-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
09.02.2020 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
0-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.62 xG 0.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
398 Passes 142
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 68% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 32%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.62 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 35%, draw 32%, San Lorenzo 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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