Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
13%
3.7
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.46
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.59/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
+28% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.8 Crosses 16.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.43
22% Ball Possession 78%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
84 Passes 508
48% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
27.02.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.46 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
141 Passes 177
59% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra and Defensa y Justicia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 49% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 51%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 1.00 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Defensa y Justicia?

Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 37%, draw 28%, Defensa y Justicia 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Riestra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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