Rosario Central 3-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
14%
3.92
X/2
11%
8.81
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
8.19
2/X
6%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.30/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.40
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
28.7 Crosses 14.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 Passes 273
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
26.01.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
20.08.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
18.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
14.10.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
20.11.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
3-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.44 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
263 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central beat Atletico Tucuman 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosario Central had 50% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.44 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rosario Central and 0.83 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?

Rosario Central 3-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 44%, draw 28%, Atletico Tucuman 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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