Shamakhi 1-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +31%
0.64/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.73
-49% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
16.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
12.02.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
11.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 4-2 HT 2-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
11.09.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi edged past Sumqayıt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Shamakhi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shamakhi and 1.00 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt?

Shamakhi 1-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 37%, draw 28%, Sumqayıt 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamakhi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Feb 2025
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