Sabah 2-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
43%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.3pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
43%
Away Win
26%
+16.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.32/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.95
+5% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
03.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
24.11.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
15.09.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
06.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.11.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah nicked a narrow win over Turan Tovuz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Turan Tovuz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sabah and 1.67 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Turan Tovuz?

Sabah 2-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sabah 33%, draw 24%, Turan Tovuz 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Feb 2025
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