Turan Tovuz 2-2 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+8.6pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sabah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
24.11.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
15.09.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
06.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.11.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
01.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz and Sabah couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sabah?

Turan Tovuz 2-2 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 38%, draw 25%, Sabah 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Turan Tovuz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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