Baroka 1-1 University Of Pretoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

Baroka
1-1 HT 0-1
University Of Pretoria
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Baroka vs University Of Pretoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v University Of Pretoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.01
+64% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Baroka vs University Of Pretoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY University Of Pretoria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 1.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
384 Passes 124
78% Pass Accuracy 55%
29 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
12.06.2024 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 0-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAFPSL
02.06.2024 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAFPSL
10.12.2023 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 0-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
25.02.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 1-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
14.01.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-3 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
POST-MATCH Baroka vs University Of Pretoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and University Of Pretoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baroka and 1.00 for University Of Pretoria.

What was the final score of Baroka vs University Of Pretoria?

Baroka 1-1 University Of Pretoria in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs University Of Pretoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Baroka 37%, draw 31%, University Of Pretoria 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baroka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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