Xelaju MC 1-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
15%
Away Win
15%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
2.09/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.46
+15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
16.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
17.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
08.10.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
17.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
07.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-3 HT 0-3 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
1-0
AWAY Guastatoya
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC squeezed past Guastatoya 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 59% of the ball to Guastatoya's 41%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya?

Xelaju MC 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 63%, draw 22%, Guastatoya 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
9 Feb 2025
00:00 Municipal vs Mixco Analysis →