Municipal 1-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.4
No
51%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
38%
+11.9pp
51%
BTTS No
62%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
2.05/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.60
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mixco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
04.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.05.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.05.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
04.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-3 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-1
AWAY Mixco
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal and Mixco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Municipal carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Municipal had 63% of the ball to Mixco's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 1-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Municipal 55%, draw 28%, Mixco 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
9 Feb 2025
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