Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Feb 2025

Korona Kielce
1-0 HT 0-0
Motor Lublin
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
13%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
10%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.41
X/2
8%
6.03
X/X
11%
4.19
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
17%
4.24
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.42/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.42
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
23.6 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
331 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.79 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce nicked a narrow win over Motor Lublin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Korona Kielce found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 48% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 52%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.79 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?

Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 36%, draw 29%, Motor Lublin 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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