Widzew Lodz 1-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Feb 2025

Widzew Lodz
1-1 HT 1-1
Cracovia Krakow
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Widzew Lodz vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
12%
5.53
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.49
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.50/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.96
+10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
25.3 Crosses 19.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Widzew Lodz vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-3 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.03.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-2 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
17.09.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.04.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
09.09.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
04.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Widzew Lodz 1-1 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.64 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
333 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz and Cracovia Krakow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 52% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 48%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.64 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Widzew Lodz and 0.67 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Cracovia Krakow?

Widzew Lodz 1-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 38%, draw 23%, Cracovia Krakow 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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