Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Feb 2025

Lechia Gdansk
1-0 HT 1-0
Lech Poznan
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.36
1/2
7%
21.7
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
12%
10.55
X/2
23%
4.13
X/X
10%
5.65
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.01
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.82/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.12
-46% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
20.9 Crosses 23.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.52 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
312 Passes 392
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-1 HT 3-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
03.03.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 5-0 HT 2-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
31.08.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-3 HT 0-2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
20.02.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
22.08.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
20.04.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.66 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk nicked a narrow win over Lech Poznan 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 47% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 53%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 2.67 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznan?

Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 25%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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