Estoril vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Boavista
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Boavista
POR
2-3
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
Estoril 2-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril squeezed past Boavista 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estoril as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Estoril had 55% of the ball to Boavista's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.01 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estoril and 1.50 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Boavista?
Estoril 2-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estoril 47%, draw 26%, Boavista 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.