Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.87/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.57
-28% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
259 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
16.6 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
269 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 4-0 HT 2-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
13.03.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-2 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAYLK
27.11.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 3-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
22.01.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-1 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1-0
AWAY Sukhothai
2.15 xG 0.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior nicked a narrow win over Sukhothai 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lamphun Warrior as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 46% of the ball to Sukhothai's 54%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lamphun Warrior's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 2.00 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai?

Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 43%, draw 28%, Sukhothai 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamphun Warrior), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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