BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Thai Port FC — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
2-1
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
4-2
HT 2-1
Thai Port FC
TAY
2-1
HT 2-0
Thai Port FC
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-0 Thai Port FC — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Thai Port FC 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day BG Pathum United made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 50% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.83 for Thai Port FC.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC?
BG Pathum United 1-0 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Thai Port FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 38%, draw 28%, Thai Port FC 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.