Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 0.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
166 Passes 265
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
31.03.2024 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 2-1 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
21.10.2023 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 4-2 HT 2-1 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
2-1
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.42 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
238 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom edged past Khonkaen Utd 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nakhon Pathom as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 47% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 53%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.42 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 1.33 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Khonkaen Utd?

Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 45%, draw 27%, Khonkaen Utd 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✗ Under 2.5
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