Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.33
X/2
8%
6.89
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.53
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.47/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.22
-10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 63%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.5 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
319 Passes 248
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.09.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
16.11.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-1 HT 2-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town FAK
06.11.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United FAK
26.10.2019 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
08.10.2019 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-1
AWAY Northampton Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
194 Passes 310
56% Pass Accuracy 68%
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Northampton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cambridge United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 42% of the ball to Northampton Town's 58%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cambridge United and 1.33 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Northampton Town?

Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 46%, draw 28%, Northampton Town 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cambridge United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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