Wigan Athletic 1-0 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 35% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.88
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
15%
6.2
X/2
11%
4.57
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.19
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
0.81/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.02
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +105%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.0 Crosses 11.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
287 Passes 244
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 5
25.11.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.21 xG 0.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
393 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Wigan Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 56% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Leyton Orient?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 39%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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